The Poker Odds Cheat Sheet You'll Actually Use
This is a reference document. Bookmark it, print it, or pull it up at the table. It covers the core numbers every poker player needs — preflop matchup equity, drawing odds by outs, pot odds by bet size, and a quick decision framework for calling decisions.
No fluff. Just the numbers.
If you want the why behind these numbers — how to count outs at the table and apply the Rule of 2/4 in real time — read the companion article: How to Count Outs in Poker and Use the Rule of 2/4.
Preflop Hand Matchup Probabilities
These are approximate equities for common preflop all-in matchups. “Equity” means your percentage chance of winning the hand by showdown.
Premium Pair vs. Premium Pair
| Matchup | Favorite Equity | Underdog Equity |
|---|---|---|
| AA vs. KK | 82% | 18% |
| AA vs. QQ | 81% | 19% |
| AA vs. JJ | 81% | 19% |
| KK vs. QQ | 82% | 18% |
| KK vs. JJ | 81% | 19% |
| QQ vs. JJ | 81% | 19% |
| QQ vs. TT | 81% | 19% |
Takeaway: Overpair vs. underpair is roughly 80/20. Getting it in with AA vs. KK is a massive edge — but it’s not a lock.
Pair vs. Two Overcards (“Coin Flip”)
| Matchup | Pair Equity | Overcards Equity |
|---|---|---|
| JJ vs. AK | 57% | 43% |
| TT vs. AK | 57% | 43% |
| 99 vs. AK | 55% | 45% |
| 88 vs. AK | 54% | 46% |
| 77 vs. AQ | 54% | 46% |
| 55 vs. AK | 53% | 47% |
Takeaway: A pair is always ahead of two unpaired overcards, but it’s close. “Coin flip” is a slight misnomer — the pair is a small favorite.
Pair vs. One Overcard
| Matchup | Pair Equity | Overcard Hand Equity |
|---|---|---|
| KK vs. AK (dominated) | 70% | 30% |
| QQ vs. AQ (dominated) | 70% | 30% |
| JJ vs. AJ (dominated) | 71% | 29% |
| TT vs. AT (dominated) | 71% | 29% |
Domination Matchups
| Matchup | Dominant Hand | Dominated Hand |
|---|---|---|
| AK vs. AQ | 74% | 26% |
| AK vs. KQ | 74% | 26% |
| AQ vs. AJ | 73% | 27% |
| KQ vs. KJ | 74% | 26% |
Takeaway: Dominated hands (sharing one card with a kicker disadvantage) are in rough shape — roughly 25–30% equity. Avoid getting stacks in with dominated hands.
Drawing Odds: Outs → Equity
When you’re drawing to a hand, the number of cards that complete it are your outs. Use this table to find your approximate equity.
For a full breakdown of how to count outs accurately, see How to Count Outs in Poker and Use the Rule of 2/4.
Outs Chart: Equity by Street
| Outs | Draw Type | Flop→Turn Equity | Turn→River Equity | Flop→River Equity (2 cards) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Backdoor pair, specific card | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| 3 | Three outs (set vs. overpair) | 6% | 6% | 13% |
| 4 | Gutshot straight draw | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| 5 | One overcard + kicker | 11% | 11% | 20% |
| 6 | Two overcards (one pair on board) | 13% | 13% | 24% |
| 7 | Pair + gutshot | 15% | 15% | 28% |
| 8 | Open-ended straight draw (OESD) | 17% | 17% | 32% |
| 9 | Flush draw | 19% | 20% | 35% |
| 10 | OESD + one overcard | 21% | 22% | 38% |
| 12 | Flush draw + gutshot | 26% | 26% | 45% |
| 15 | Flush draw + OESD (combo) | 32% | 33% | 54% |
Flop→River equity assumes you see both remaining streets (common when facing an all-in on the flop). Use flop→turn or turn→river when you’re facing a bet with one card to come.
Common Draw Scenarios
| Situation | Outs | Approx. Equity (1 card) | Approx. Equity (2 cards) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flush draw | 9 | 19% | 35% |
| Open-ended straight draw | 8 | 17% | 32% |
| Gutshot straight draw | 4 | 9% | 17% |
| Two overcards | 6 | 13% | 24% |
| Set draw (pocket pair, no set) | 2 | 4% | 8% |
| Flush draw + OESD | 15 | 32% | 54% |
| Flush draw + pair (pair vs. two pair) | ~14 | 30% | 51% |
Rule of 2 and 4 — Quick Reference
The Rule of 2/4 is how you estimate equity in your head without a calculator.
| Situation | Multiply Outs By |
|---|---|
| One card to come (turn or river) | × 2 |
| Two cards to come (flop, all-in) | × 4 |
Examples:
- Flush draw (9 outs) on the turn: 9 × 2 = ~18%
- OESD (8 outs) on the flop facing all-in: 8 × 4 = ~32%
- Gutshot (4 outs) on the turn: 4 × 2 = ~8%
Accuracy note: The Rule of 2/4 slightly overestimates equity when you have many outs (12+). For combo draws above 12 outs, subtract 1–2% from the result.
Pot Odds Table
Pot odds tell you the minimum equity you need to profitably call a bet. If your hand equity exceeds the required equity, it’s a +EV call.
How to Calculate Required Equity
Required equity = Bet ÷ (Pot + Bet + Call)
Or use this table:
Pot Odds by Bet Size
| Bet Size | Example (100 pot) | You Must Call | Total Pot | Required Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/4 pot | Bet 25 into 100 | 25 | 150 | 14% |
| 1/3 pot | Bet 33 into 100 | 33 | 166 | 17% |
| 1/2 pot | Bet 50 into 100 | 50 | 200 | 25% |
| 2/3 pot | Bet 67 into 100 | 67 | 234 | 22% |
| 3/4 pot | Bet 75 into 100 | 75 | 250 | 25% |
| Pot | Bet 100 into 100 | 100 | 300 | 33% |
| 1.5x pot | Bet 150 into 100 | 150 | 400 | 38% |
| 2x pot | Bet 200 into 100 | 200 | 500 | 40% |
Key benchmarks to memorize:
- Half-pot bet → need 25% equity
- Pot-sized bet → need 33% equity
- 2x pot shove → need 40% equity
The flip side of pot odds is bet sizing — knowing how much you should bet to set the right price. Our bet sizing guide for home games covers the other side of this equation.
Practice tip: Tiltless drills Skills 4 and 5 — outs counting and pot odds — with real-time table scenarios. Start free →
Common Preflop All-In Equity Scenarios
A reference for common tournament and cash game spots where stacks go in preflop.
| Your Hand | Villain’s Hand | Your Equity |
|---|---|---|
| AA | KK | 82% |
| AA | AK | 93% |
| AA | 72o | 88% |
| KK | AK | 70% |
| KK | 82% | |
| AK | 57% | |
| JJ | AK | 57% |
| TT | AK | 57% |
| AK (suited) | 46% | |
| AK (off) | 43% | |
| AK | AQ | 74% |
| AK | KQ | 74% |
| AQs | KJs | 60% |
| 87s | AKo | 41% |
| 22 | AK | 53% |
| 22 | 87s | 52% |
Reading this table:
- Overpair vs. underpair: ~80% favorite
- Big pair vs. two overcards: 54–57% favorite
- Dominated hand (e.g., AQ vs. AK): ~26% — avoid this spot
- Suited connectors vs. overcards: roughly 40–41% — close but behind
For hand selection guidance by position, see What Hands to Play in Poker by Position.
Quick Decision Framework: Should I Call?
Use this flowchart when facing a bet on the flop or turn.
FACING A BET — SHOULD I CALL?
│
├─ Step 1: What's my hand equity?
│ ├─ Made hand (top pair, two pair, set, etc.) → estimate vs. villain's range
│ └─ Drawing hand → count outs → apply Rule of 2 (turn) or Rule of 4 (flop all-in)
│
├─ Step 2: What are my pot odds?
│ └─ Use the pot odds table above → find required equity for bet size
│
├─ Step 3: Compare equity vs. required equity
│ ├─ My equity > required equity → CALL (or raise)
│ └─ My equity < required equity → FOLD
│
└─ Step 4: Adjust for implied odds
├─ Deep stacks + drawing hand → can call slightly below pot odds
└─ Shallow stacks + capped range → be tighter than pot odds suggest
Example Walkthrough
Situation: The pot is $60. Villain bets $30 (half pot). You have a flush draw (9 outs) on the turn.
- Equity: 9 outs × 2 = ~18%
- Required equity: Half-pot bet = 25%
- Compare: 18% < 25% → Fold (on pot odds alone)
- Implied odds check: If villain will pay off a large bet when you hit, you may have enough implied odds to call. If stacks are shallow, fold.
Situation: Same pot. Villain bets $20 (1/3 pot). Same flush draw.
- Equity: ~18%
- Required equity: 1/3-pot bet = 17%
- Compare: 18% > 17% → Call
Small differences in bet sizing flip the decision. This is why knowing the numbers matters.
Using This Sheet at the Table
A few practical notes:
- Memorize the benchmarks, not the full table. Know that a flush draw is ~35% with two cards to come, ~19% with one. Know that a pot-sized bet needs 33% equity to call.
- Pot odds trump feel. If the math says fold, fold — even if the call “feels right.”
- Outs aren’t always clean. If some of your outs might give your opponent a better hand (e.g., your flush card completes his full house), discount those outs.
- Position matters. Calling in position gives you more information and better implied odds than calling out of position. For a full breakdown of positional strategy, see Poker Strategy for Home Games and Card Rooms.
Build These Instincts With Tiltless
Knowing the numbers is step one. Using them automatically under pressure is step two.
Tiltless trains exactly this — Skills 4 and 5 drill outs counting and pot odds with realistic table scenarios until the math becomes instinct. No memorization grind. Just reps.
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Last updated: April 2026. Equity figures are approximate and calculated using standard equity calculators. Small variations exist based on exact card combinations.
Quick reference: Counting Outs Guide · Pot Odds Guide
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